CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.The US dollar index rose more than 0.2%, the Japanese yen once fell below 152, and the NZD fell by 1.1%. On Tuesday (December 10th) in late new york, the ICE dollar index rose by 0.25% to 106.407 points, and then rebounded to 106.040 points at 14:31 Beijing time, and rose to 106.637 points at 23:53. The dollar rose 0.49% against the yen to 151.95 yen, and the intraday trading range was 150.90-152.18 yen. The euro fell 0.27% to 1.0528, the pound rose 0.17% to 1.2772, and the dollar rose 0.54% to 0.8829 against the Swiss franc. Among commodity currencies, the Australian dollar fell by 0.95% against the US dollar, the New Zealand dollar fell by 1.10% against the US dollar, and the US dollar rose by 0.07% against the Canadian dollar.The three major European stock indexes closed down across the board. The German DAX index fell 0.08% to 20329.16 points, the French CAC40 index fell 1.14% to 7394.78 points, and the British FTSE 100 index fell 0.86% to 8280.36 points.
White sugar futures fell by about 3%, Arabica coffee rose by over 4.5%, and new york cocoa rose by about 6%, which continued to hit a record high. In late new york on Tuesday (December 10th), ICE raw sugar futures fell by 2.00% and ICE white sugar futures fell by 2.97%. ICE Arabica coffee futures rose 4.53% to 347.35 cents/pound; Coffee "C" futures rose 0.26% to 334.05 cents, having risen to 348.35 cents at 19:52 Beijing time. Robusta coffee futures rose 0.35% to 5218, and rose to 5510 at 17:25. New york cocoa futures rose 5.99% to $10,685/ton, continuing to hit a record high. London cocoa futures rose 4.00% to 8420,00: 01, and also rose to 8471 to continue to hit a record high. ICE cotton futures fell 0.66% to 69.49 cents. When the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) released the monthly inventory report, the refresh date was as low as 69.25 cents at 01:00.Since the beginning of this year, six small and medium-sized banks have "refused to redeem" tier-2 capital bonds. On December 9, Yingkou Bank Co., Ltd. announced that when the 10-year tier-2 capital bonds issued by the bank in 2019 had expired, the bank chose not to redeem the bonds. In fact, a number of commercial banks have announced this year that they will not exercise the right to redeem secondary capital bonds, mainly small and medium-sized banks. The insiders believe that there are two main reasons why banks choose not to redeem secondary capital bonds. First, it is difficult for banks to refinance and issue capital replenishment tools due to factors such as high cost of new bonds and declining profitability. Second, the bank's capital adequacy ratio has been at a low level, and some banks' capital adequacy ratio has been lower than the regulatory requirements before redemption, and the capital level may further decline after exercising the redemption right. (Securities Daily)The crude oil futures of the previous issue closed up 0.25% at 530.8 yuan/barrel at night. Shanghai Gold closed up 0.67% at 626.52 yuan/g, and Shanghai Bank closed up 0.15% at 7962 yuan/kg.
New york gold futures rose about 1.3% and returned to $2,720. On Tuesday (December 10th) in late new york, spot gold rose 1.27% to $2,694.10 per ounce, which continued to fluctuate upward during the day, with a trading range of $2,658.05-2,695.62. Spot silver rose 0.20% to $31.9055 per ounce. COMEX gold futures rose 1.28% to $2,720.00 per ounce, with an intraday trading range of $2,680.70-$2,721.30. COMEX silver futures rose 0.62% to $32.6450 an ounce. COMEX copper futures rose 0.31% to $4.2710/lb.The murder suspect of the CEO of the insurance giant resisted "extradition" to new york, and the protracted court offensive and defensive war was started. The suspect Luigi Mangione, who was shot dead by Brian Thompson, an executive of UnitedHealth Group Inc, in Manhattan, new york, USA, objected to extraditing himself to new york to face second-degree murder's charges, thus opening the curtain for a judicial procedure that may be a year without a month. On Tuesday (December 10th), at a court hearing in Pennsylvania, the defendant's lawyer said that he would fight against any request to transfer him to new york. "My client is not giving up the extradition hearing here today," said Thomas M. Dickey, Mangione's attorney.The Iraqi Prime Minister met with the commander of the US Central Command to discuss the situation in Syria and other issues. The Iraqi Prime Minister and Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces Sudani met with the commander of the US Central Command, michael curry Al-Ra, in Baghdad on December 10th. During the talks, the two sides discussed the cooperation and coordination between Iraq and the League of Nations in the fight against terrorism and extremism. Sudani emphasized that Iraq is an important member of the "League of Nations" and is committed to cooperating with the League to jointly crack down on and track down terrorist organizations in order to safeguard regional security and stability. Curilla emphasized that the League of Nations promised to support Iraq in safeguarding its security and sovereignty and resisting any terrorist threat. The two sides also discussed the latest progress of the situation in Syria and its lasting impact on the region. Sudani said that the Syrian people's free choice should be respected, and Iraq is willing to help the Syrian people in the current transitional stage. (CCTV)